Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop

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Company makes third cut to renewables company outlook this year

Company makes third cut to renewables service outlook this year


Reduces both margin and volume outlook


Weaker diesel market hits biofuel rates


(Adds analyst, background, information in paragraphs 2-3, 9-11)


By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto


HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel company for the third time this year due to falling prices and likewise decreased its anticipated sales volumes, sending out the business's share cost down 10%.


Neste stated a drop in the price of routine diesel had actually affected what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input expenses for waste and residue feedstock stayed high.


A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce renewable diesel has produced a supply glut of low-emissions biofuels, hammering earnings margins for refiners and threatening to hinder the nascent market.


Neste in a statement slashed the expected typical similar sales margin of its renewables system to between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, below $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well below the $600-$800 seen in February.


The company now likewise anticipates renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes rather of the 4.4 million it had anticipated because the start of the year, it included.


A part of the volume cut originated from the production of sustainable air travel fuel, of which it is now anticipated to sell between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, down from in between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen formerly, Neste said.


"Renewable items' sales rates have actually been adversely affected by a significant decline in (the) diesel cost throughout the 3rd quarter," Neste stated in a statement.


"At the same time, waste and residue feedstock rates have not reduced and sustainable product market cost premiums have actually stayed weak," the company added.


Industry executives and analysts have actually said rapidly expanding Chinese biodiesel manufacturers are seeking new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have revealed they are pausing expansion plans in Europe.


While the cut in Neste's assistance on sales volumes of sustainable aviation fuel came as a surprise, the negative effect on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel cost was to be anticipated, Inderes analyst Petri Gostowski stated.


Neste's share cost had actually reversed some losses by 1037 GMT but stayed down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki; Editing by Terje Solsvik and Jan Harvey)

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