Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop

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Company makes third cut to renewables organization outlook this year

Company makes 3rd cut to renewables company outlook this year


Reduces both margin and volume outlook


Weaker diesel market strikes biofuel rates


(Adds analyst, background, detail in paragraphs 2-3, 9-11)


By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto


HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel company for the 3rd time this year due to falling prices and likewise lowered its anticipated sales volumes, sending out the company's share cost down 10%.


Neste stated a drop in the price of regular diesel had actually impacted what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input costs for waste and residue feedstock stayed high.


A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce sustainable diesel has actually developed a supply glut of low-emissions biofuels, hammering profit margins for refiners and threatening to impede the nascent market.


Neste in a statement slashed the expected average comparable sales margin of its renewables unit to between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, down from $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well below the $600-$800 seen in February.


The business now likewise anticipates renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes rather of the 4.4 million it had actually forecasted since the start of the year, it added.


A part of the volume cut came from the production of sustainable air travel fuel, of which it is now anticipated to offer in between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, below in between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen formerly, Neste said.


"Renewable items' list prices have been negatively impacted by a considerable reduction in (the) diesel rate throughout the 3rd quarter," Neste stated in a declaration.


"At the same time, waste and residue feedstock prices have actually not reduced and sustainable item market value premiums have remained weak," the company included.


Industry executives and experts have actually said rapidly expanding Chinese biodiesel manufacturers are seeking brand-new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have announced they are pausing expansion strategies in Europe.


While the cut in Neste's assistance on sales volumes of sustainable aviation fuel came as a surprise, the negative effect on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel price was to be expected, Inderes analyst Petri Gostowski said.


Neste's share rate had actually reversed some losses by 1037 GMT however remained down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki; Editing by Terje Solsvik and Jan Harvey)

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